Tuesday, January 06, 2015

5,000 Years

Note to Reader: I have been noodling around with an analogy for some time but just couldn't quite get a grip on the scope. Finally I just decided to write it out and let the chips fall where they may.

In my lifetime there have been two major genocides which I would like to make a note of: Cambodia back in the mid 1970's, where something like 1/4 of the total population was killed and Rwanda in the mid to late 1990's where about 1/5 of the population was murdered.

To get some perspective, those who would like to ban the private ownership of firearms like to trumpet the US murder rate*, which is something like 12,000/year. At this rate, it would take 5,000 years for murderers to equal what was done in Rwanda in 100 days.

Now for the analogy: It seems like one could think of murder by criminals as analogous to side effects from vaccines. Each is tragic but far more lives are saved than lost. Could either of these genocides (or any genocide, ever) have been carried out in a well-armed society?

*The anti-gun folks are not even close to this honest. They will talk about "gun deaths" and never mention that 2/3 of these are suicide. Nor will they mention that in gun-free Japan, the suicide rate is twice that of the US.

Added: To give a feel for the span of time. It has taken only about 12,500 years for the Niagara Gorge to be formed from the origin of the falls to their present location. The gorge is close to 7 miles long.

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